# Saturday, April 09, 2011

TamilNadu Assembly Election 2011 Results Forecast (Theory 1)

TamilNadu Assembly Election 2011 Results Forecast (Theory 1)

(Theory 1)- These results doesnt include any Anti-Incumbency wave. Check out the other forecast - which includes the major factors. This result is the maximum DMK alliance can get in the TamilNadu Assembly Election 2011


ADMK + :               118
DMK + :               115


ADMK+ :               70
     Very good Margin Seats ( 15,000+ ) : 8
     Good Margin Seats ( 7,000+ ) : 62

DMK+ :                43
     Very good Margin Seats ( 15,000+ ) : 2
     Good Margin Seats ( 7,000+ ) : 41

50 - 50 ( Tossup / Decision Inconclusive) :     120
     Tossup :           0
     50(admk) - 50      (ie., but inclined towards ADMK) :     48
     50 - 50(dmk)      (ie., but inclined towards DMK) :     72

Others (including BJP) :           1




Parliamentary Constituency :    Tiruvallur
 
DMK+ : 0   ADMK+ : 6   Equally competitive : 0  
 
2PonneriADMK
4TiruvallurADMK
5PoonamalleeADMK
6AvadiADMK
9MadavaramADMK
1GummidipundiADMK



Parliamentary Constituency :    Chennai North
 
DMK+ : 1   ADMK+ : 2   Equally competitive : 3  
 
15Thiru-Vi-Ka-Nagar50 - 50(dmk)
10Thiruvottiyur50(admk) - 50
12PeramburADMK
17RoyapuramADMK
13KolathurDMK
11Dr. Radhakrishnan Nagar50(admk) - 50



Parliamentary Constituency :    Chennai South
 
DMK+ : 1   ADMK+ : 4   Equally competitive : 1  
 
22VirugampakkamADMK
23SaidapetADMK
24Thiyagarayanagar50 - 50(dmk)
25MylaporeADMK
26VelacheryADMK
27ShozhinganallurDMK



Parliamentary Constituency :    Chennai Central
 
DMK+ : 1   ADMK+ : 0   Equally competitive : 5  
 
16EgmoreDMK
14Villivakkam50 - 50(dmk)
19Chepauk-Thiruvallikeni50 - 50(dmk)
20Thousand Lights50 - 50(dmk)
21Anna Nagar50(admk) - 50
18Harbour50(admk) - 50



Parliamentary Constituency :    Sriperumbudur
 
DMK+ : 1   ADMK+ : 2   Equally competitive : 3  
 
31Tambaram50(admk) - 50
7MaduravoyalADMK
8AmbatturADMK
28Alandur50(admk) - 50
30Pallavaram50 - 50(dmk)
29SriperumbudurDMK



Parliamentary Constituency :    Kancheepuram
 
DMK+ : 1   ADMK+ : 0   Equally competitive : 5  
 
36Uthiramerur50(admk) - 50
34Cheyyur50(admk) - 50
32Chengalpattu50 - 50(dmk)
37KancheepuramDMK
35Maduranthakam50(admk) - 50
33Tirupporur50 - 50(dmk)



Parliamentary Constituency :    Arakkonam
 
DMK+ : 4   ADMK+ : 0   Equally competitive : 2  
 
3TiruttaniDMK
41Ranipet50 - 50(dmk)
38Arakkonam50 - 50(dmk)
42ArcotDMK
39SholingurDMK
40KatpadiDMK



Parliamentary Constituency :    Vellore
 
DMK+ : 2   ADMK+ : 0   Equally competitive : 4  
 
43VelloreDMK
48Ambur50 - 50(dmk)
44Anaicut50 - 50(dmk)
47VaniayambadiDMK
46Gudiyatham50 - 50(dmk)
45Kilvaithinankuppam50 - 50(dmk)



Parliamentary Constituency :    Krishnagiri
 
DMK+ : 0   ADMK+ : 1   Equally competitive : 5  
 
52Bargur50(admk) - 50
54Veppanahalli50 - 50(dmk)
51UthangaraiADMK
55Hosur50 - 50(dmk)
56Thalli50(admk) - 50
53Krishnagiri50 - 50(dmk)



Parliamentary Constituency :    Dharmapuri
 
DMK+ : 2   ADMK+ : 0   Equally competitive : 4  
 
61HarurDMK
57Palacode50 - 50(dmk)
59Dharmapuri50 - 50(dmk)
58Pennagaram50 - 50(dmk)
60PapireddippattiDMK
85Mettur50 - 50(dmk)



Parliamentary Constituency :    Tiruvannamalai
 
DMK+ : 1   ADMK+ : 0   Equally competitive : 5  
 
64Kilpennathur50 - 50(dmk)
62Chengam50 - 50(dmk)
63TiruvannamalaiDMK
65Kalasapakkam50 - 50(dmk)
49Jolarpet50 - 50(dmk)
50Tiruppattur50 - 50(dmk)



Parliamentary Constituency :    Arani
 
DMK+ : 4   ADMK+ : 0   Equally competitive : 2  
 
69VandavasiDMK
70Gingee50 - 50(dmk)
66PolurDMK
68CheyyarDMK
71Mallam50 - 50(dmk)
67ArniDMK



Parliamentary Constituency :    Viluppuram
 
DMK+ : 0   ADMK+ : 3   Equally competitive : 3  
 
76Tirukkoyilur50(admk) - 50
73Vanur50(admk) - 50
74VillupuramADMK
77UlundurpetADMK
72Tindivanam50(admk) - 50
75VikaravandiADMK



Parliamentary Constituency :    Kallakurichi
 
DMK+ : 0   ADMK+ : 1   Equally competitive : 5  
 
83Yercaud50(admk) - 50
82Attur50 - 50(dmk)
80Kallakurichi50(admk) - 50
79Sankarapuram50 - 50(dmk)
78RishivandiamADMK
81Gangavalli50 - 50(dmk)



Parliamentary Constituency :    Salem
 
DMK+ : 0   ADMK+ : 5   Equally competitive : 1  
 
89Salem NorthADMK
91Veerapandi50(admk) - 50
88Salem WestADMK
84OmalurADMK
86EdapadiADMK
90Salem SouthADMK



Parliamentary Constituency :    Namakkal
 
DMK+ : 0   ADMK+ : 0   Equally competitive : 6  
 
92Rasipuram50(admk) - 50
94Namakkal50 - 50(dmk)
95Paramathi Velur50(admk) - 50
87Sankari50 - 50(dmk)
96Tiruchengode50 - 50(dmk)
93Sendamangalam50 - 50(dmk)



Parliamentary Constituency :    Erode
 
DMK+ : 0   ADMK+ : 0   Equally competitive : 6  
 
98Erode East50(admk) - 50
100Modakurichi50 - 50(dmk)
102Kangayam50(admk) - 50
101Dharapuram50 - 50(dmk)
99Erode West50 - 50(dmk)
97Kumarapalayam50 - 50(dmk)



Parliamentary Constituency :    Tiruppur
 
DMK+ : 0   ADMK+ : 4   Equally competitive : 2  
 
113Tiruppur NorthADMK
105Andhiyur50(admk) - 50
104BhavaniADMK
103Perundurai50(admk) - 50
106GobichettipalayamADMK
114Tiruppur SouthADMK



Parliamentary Constituency :    Nilgiris
 
DMK+ : 3   ADMK+ : 1   Equally competitive : 2  
 
109GudalurDMK
107Bhavanisagar50 - 50(dmk)
108UdhagamandalamDMK
110CoonoorDMK
111Metuppalayam50 - 50(dmk)
112AvanashiADMK



Parliamentary Constituency :    Coimbatore
 
DMK+ : 0   ADMK+ : 1   Equally competitive : 5  
 
117Kavundampalayam50(admk) - 50
116Sulur50 - 50(dmk)
121Singanallur50(admk) - 50
118Coimbatore NorthADMK
120Coimbatore South50 - 50(dmk)
115Palladam50 - 50(dmk)



Parliamentary Constituency :    Pollachi
 
DMK+ : 2   ADMK+ : 2   Equally competitive : 2  
 
122KinathukkadavuADMK
123PollachiDMK
124ValparaiDMK
125Udumalaipettai50 - 50(dmk)
126Madathukulam50 - 50(dmk)
119ThondamuthurADMK



Parliamentary Constituency :    Dindigul
 
DMK+ : 1   ADMK+ : 3   Equally competitive : 2  
 
131NathamADMK
132DindigulADMK
129AthoorDMK
128Oddanchatram50 - 50(dmk)
130Nilakottai50(admk) - 50
127PalaniADMK



Parliamentary Constituency :    Karur
 
DMK+ : 0   ADMK+ : 4   Equally competitive : 2  
 
134Aravakurichi50 - 50(dmk)
133VedasandurADMK
138ManaparaiADMK
136KrishnarayapuramADMK
135KarurADMK
179Viralimalai50(admk) - 50



Parliamentary Constituency :    Tiruchirappalli
 
DMK+ : 1   ADMK+ : 2   Equally competitive : 3  
 
142ThiruveramburADMK
141Thiruchirappalli East50 - 50(dmk)
140Thiruchirappalli West50 - 50(dmk)
178Gandharvakottai50(admk) - 50
139SrirangamADMK
180PudukkottaiDMK



Parliamentary Constituency :    Perambalur
 
DMK+ : 1   ADMK+ : 1   Equally competitive : 4  
 
137Kulithalai50 - 50(dmk)
144ManachanallurADMK
146Thuraiyur50 - 50(dmk)
147Perambalur50(admk) - 50
145Musiri50 - 50(dmk)
143LalgudiDMK



Parliamentary Constituency :    Cuddalore
 
DMK+ : 0   ADMK+ : 1   Equally competitive : 5  
 
155Cuddalore50 - 50(dmk)
153Neyveli50(admk) - 50
154PanrutiADMK
156Kurinjipadi50 - 50(dmk)
152Vridhachalam50(admk) - 50
151Tittakudi50 - 50(dmk)



Parliamentary Constituency :    Chidambaram
 
DMK+ : 3   ADMK+ : 0   Equally competitive : 3  
 
148Kunnam50 - 50(dmk)
149Ariyalur50 - 50(dmk)
158ChidambaramDMK
150JayankondamDMK
157Bhuvanagiri50 - 50(dmk)
159KattumannarkoilDMK



Parliamentary Constituency :    Mayiladuturai
 
DMK+ : 0   ADMK+ : 2   Equally competitive : 4  
 
160Sirkali50 - 50(dmk)
162PoompuharADMK
161MayiladuturaiADMK
172Papanasam50(admk) - 50
171Kumbakonam50(admk) - 50
170Thiruvidamarudur50(admk) - 50



Parliamentary Constituency :    Nagapattinam
 
DMK+ : 1   ADMK+ : 2   Equally competitive : 3  
 
163Nagapattinam50(admk) - 50
165Vedaranyam50 - 50(dmk)
168TiruvarurDMK
169Nannilam50 - 50(dmk)
166ThiruthuraipoondiADMK
164KilvelurADMK



Parliamentary Constituency :    Thanjavur
 
DMK+ : 1   ADMK+ : 1   Equally competitive : 4  
 
173Thiruvaiyaru50(admk) - 50
167Mannargudi50(admk) - 50
177Peravurani50(admk) - 50
176Pattukkottai50 - 50(dmk)
174ThanjavurDMK
175OrathanaduADMK



Parliamentary Constituency :    Sivaganga
 
DMK+ : 0   ADMK+ : 3   Equally competitive : 3  
 
185TiruppatturADMK
182Alangudi50(admk) - 50
184Karaikudi50(admk) - 50
181Thirumayam50(admk) - 50
186SivagangaADMK
187ManamaduraiADMK



Parliamentary Constituency :    Madurai
 
DMK+ : 3   ADMK+ : 0   Equally competitive : 3  
 
188MelurDMK
194Madurai West50 - 50(dmk)
189Madurai EastDMK
191Madurai North50 - 50(dmk)
192Madurai South50 - 50(dmk)
193Madurai CentralDMK



Parliamentary Constituency :    Theni
 
DMK+ : 0   ADMK+ : 6   Equally competitive : 0  
 
190SholavandanADMK
199PeriyakulamADMK
200BodinayakkanurADMK
201CumbumADMK
198AndipattiADMK
197UsilampattiADMK



Parliamentary Constituency :    Virudhunagar
 
DMK+ : 0   ADMK+ : 3   Equally competitive : 3  
 
207Aruppukottai50 - 50(dmk)
204Sattur50(admk) - 50
206VirudhunagarADMK
205SivakasiADMK
196Thirumangalam50 - 50(dmk)
195ThirupparankundramADMK



Parliamentary Constituency :    Ramanathapuram
 
DMK+ : 1   ADMK+ : 0   Equally competitive : 5  
 
211Ramanathapuram50(admk) - 50
209Paramakudi50(admk) - 50
210Tiruvadanai50 - 50(dmk)
212Mudukulathur50(admk) - 50
208Tiruchuli50(admk) - 50
183ArantangiDMK



Parliamentary Constituency :    Thoothukkudi
 
DMK+ : 1   ADMK+ : 2   Equally competitive : 3  
 
218KoilpattiADMK
214Thoothukkudi50 - 50(dmk)
216Srivaikuntam50 - 50(dmk)
215TiruchendurDMK
217OttapidaramADMK
213Vilathikulam50(admk) - 50



Parliamentary Constituency :    Tenkasi
 
DMK+ : 0   ADMK+ : 6   Equally competitive : 0  
 
219SankaranayanarkoilADMK
203SrivilliputhurADMK
221KadayanallurADMK
222TenkasiADMK
202RajapalayamADMK
220VasudevanallurADMK



Parliamentary Constituency :    Tirunelveli
 
DMK+ : 2   ADMK+ : 2   Equally competitive : 2  
 
224Tirunelveli50 - 50(dmk)
228RadhapuramADMK
227NanguneriDMK
225AmbasamudramADMK
226PalayamcottaiDMK
223Alangulam50(admk) - 50



Parliamentary Constituency :    Kanniyakumari
 
DMK+ : 5   ADMK+ : 0   Equally competitive : 0  
 
229KanniyakumariDMK
230NagercoilBJP
231ColachelDMK
232PadmanabhapuramDMK
233VilavancodeDMK
234KilliyoorDMK
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