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2011-05-20T09:19:35.948-07:00

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TamilNadu Assembly Election 2011 Results Forecasts

2011-04-12T19:26:47.882-07:00

	0 % Swing	5 % Swing	7% Swing
ADMK+	118	142	173
DMK+	115	91	60

ADMK will get : 118 to 173 seats

DMK will get : 115 to 60 seats

Unlike past elections 1996,2001 or even 2006 DMK has tasted the victory by giving Cash for votes. The numbers in 0% swing is just taken from the previous election(Parliamentary Election 2009 and State Assembly Election 2006). If the DMK's money didnt play its very very easy for ADMK alliance to get 173 seats.

TamilNadu Assembly Election 2011 Results Forecast (Theory 3) - 7 percent SWING against incumbent DMK Government

Highly probable !!

TamilNadu Assembly Election 2011 Results Forecast (Theory 2) - 5 percent Anti - Incumbency WAVE

TamilNadu Assembly Election 2011 Results Forecast (Theory 1)

Lets wait awhile !

TamilNadu Assembly Election 2011 Results Forecast (Theory 3) - 7 percent SWING against incumbent DMK Government

2011-04-12T11:58:10.623-07:00

TamilNadu Assembly Election 2011 Results Forecast (Theory 3) - 7 percent SWING against incumbent DMK Government

Theory 3 - These results are based on the major factor : (a) Anti-Incumbency wave - (5%) swing & ( b) Family based politics & Corruption (2%) swing

Highly probable !!

ADMK + : 173

DMK + : 60

ADMK+ : 113

Very good Margin Seats ( 15,000+ ) : 8

Good Margin Seats ( 7,000+ ) : 105

DMK+ : 43

Very good Margin Seats ( 15,000+ ) : 2

Good Margin Seats ( 7,000+ ) : 41

50 - 50 ( Tossup / Decision Inconclusive) : 77

Tossup : 7

50(admk) - 50 (ie., but inclined towards ADMK) : 57

50 - 50(dmk) (ie., but inclined towards DMK) : 13

Others (including BJP) : 1

Parliamentary Constituency : Tiruvallur

DMK+ : 0 ADMK+ : 6 Equally competitive : 0

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

2	Ponneri	ADMK
4	Tiruvallur	ADMK
5	Poonamallee	ADMK
6	Avadi	ADMK
9	Madavaram	ADMK
1	Gummidipundi	ADMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Chennai North

DMK+ : 1 ADMK+ : 4 Equally competitive : 1

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

15	Thiru-Vi-Ka-Nagar	50(admk) - 50
10	Thiruvottiyur	ADMK
12	Perambur	ADMK
17	Royapuram	ADMK
13	Kolathur	DMK
11	Dr. Radhakrishnan Nagar	ADMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Chennai South

DMK+ : 1 ADMK+ : 4 Equally competitive : 1

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

22	Virugampakkam	ADMK
23	Saidapet	ADMK
24	Thiyagarayanagar	50(admk) - 50
25	Mylapore	ADMK
26	Velachery	ADMK
27	Shozhinganallur	DMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Chennai Central

DMK+ : 1 ADMK+ : 2 Equally competitive : 3

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

16	Egmore	DMK
14	Villivakkam	50 - 50(dmk)
19	Chepauk-Thiruvallikeni	50 - 50(dmk)
20	Thousand Lights	50(admk) - 50
21	Anna Nagar	ADMK
18	Harbour	ADMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Sriperumbudur

DMK+ : 1 ADMK+ : 4 Equally competitive : 1

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

31	Tambaram	ADMK
7	Maduravoyal	ADMK
8	Ambattur	ADMK
28	Alandur	ADMK
30	Pallavaram	50(admk) - 50
29	Sriperumbudur	DMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Kancheepuram

DMK+ : 1 ADMK+ : 1 Equally competitive : 4

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

36	Uthiramerur	50(admk) - 50
34	Cheyyur	50(admk) - 50
32	Chengalpattu	50(admk) - 50
37	Kancheepuram	DMK
35	Maduranthakam	ADMK
33	Tirupporur	50(admk) - 50

Parliamentary Constituency : Arakkonam

DMK+ : 4 ADMK+ : 0 Equally competitive : 2

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

3	Tiruttani	DMK
41	Ranipet	50 - 50
38	Arakkonam	50 - 50
42	Arcot	DMK
39	Sholingur	DMK
40	Katpadi	DMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Vellore

DMK+ : 2 ADMK+ : 0 Equally competitive : 4

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

43	Vellore	DMK
48	Ambur	50 - 50(dmk)
44	Anaicut	50(admk) - 50
47	Vaniayambadi	DMK
46	Gudiyatham	50 - 50(dmk)
45	Kilvaithinankuppam	50 - 50(dmk)

Parliamentary Constituency : Krishnagiri

DMK+ : 0 ADMK+ : 3 Equally competitive : 3

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

52	Bargur	ADMK
54	Veppanahalli	50(admk) - 50
51	Uthangarai	ADMK
55	Hosur	50 - 50
56	Thalli	ADMK
53	Krishnagiri	50(admk) - 50

Parliamentary Constituency : Dharmapuri

DMK+ : 2 ADMK+ : 0 Equally competitive : 4

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

61	Harur	DMK
57	Palacode	50 - 50(dmk)
59	Dharmapuri	50 - 50(dmk)
58	Pennagaram	50 - 50
60	Papireddippatti	DMK
85	Mettur	50 - 50

Parliamentary Constituency : Tiruvannamalai

DMK+ : 1 ADMK+ : 0 Equally competitive : 5

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

64	Kilpennathur	50 - 50(dmk)
62	Chengam	50(admk) - 50
63	Tiruvannamalai	DMK
65	Kalasapakkam	50 - 50
49	Jolarpet	50(admk) - 50
50	Tiruppattur	50 - 50(dmk)

Parliamentary Constituency : Arani

DMK+ : 4 ADMK+ : 0 Equally competitive : 2

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

69	Vandavasi	DMK
70	Gingee	50(admk) - 50
66	Polur	DMK
68	Cheyyar	DMK
71	Mallam	50(admk) - 50
67	Arni	DMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Viluppuram

DMK+ : 0 ADMK+ : 6 Equally competitive : 0

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

76	Tirukkoyilur	ADMK
73	Vanur	ADMK
74	Villupuram	ADMK
77	Ulundurpet	ADMK
72	Tindivanam	ADMK
75	Vikaravandi	ADMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Kallakurichi

DMK+ : 0 ADMK+ : 1 Equally competitive : 5

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

83	Yercaud	50(admk) - 50
82	Attur	50(admk) - 50
80	Kallakurichi	50(admk) - 50
79	Sankarapuram	50 - 50
78	Rishivandiam	ADMK
81	Gangavalli	50(admk) - 50

Parliamentary Constituency : Salem

DMK+ : 0 ADMK+ : 6 Equally competitive : 0

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

89	Salem North	ADMK
91	Veerapandi	ADMK
88	Salem West	ADMK
84	Omalur	ADMK
86	Edapadi	ADMK
90	Salem South	ADMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Namakkal

DMK+ : 0 ADMK+ : 2 Equally competitive : 4

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

92	Rasipuram	ADMK
94	Namakkal	50(admk) - 50
95	Paramathi Velur	ADMK
87	Sankari	50(admk) - 50
96	Tiruchengode	50(admk) - 50
93	Sendamangalam	50(admk) - 50

Parliamentary Constituency : Erode

DMK+ : 0 ADMK+ : 2 Equally competitive : 4

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

98	Erode East	ADMK
100	Modakurichi	50(admk) - 50
102	Kangayam	ADMK
101	Dharapuram	50(admk) - 50
99	Erode West	50(admk) - 50
97	Kumarapalayam	50(admk) - 50

Parliamentary Constituency : Tiruppur

DMK+ : 0 ADMK+ : 6 Equally competitive : 0

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

113	Tiruppur North	ADMK
105	Andhiyur	ADMK
104	Bhavani	ADMK
103	Perundurai	ADMK
106	Gobichettipalayam	ADMK
114	Tiruppur South	ADMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Nilgiris

DMK+ : 3 ADMK+ : 1 Equally competitive : 2

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

109	Gudalur	DMK
107	Bhavanisagar	50(admk) - 50
108	Udhagamandalam	DMK
110	Coonoor	DMK
111	Metuppalayam	50(admk) - 50
112	Avanashi	ADMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Coimbatore

DMK+ : 0 ADMK+ : 3 Equally competitive : 3

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

117	Kavundampalayam	ADMK
116	Sulur	50(admk) - 50
121	Singanallur	ADMK
118	Coimbatore North	ADMK
120	Coimbatore South	50 - 50(dmk)
115	Palladam	50(admk) - 50

Parliamentary Constituency : Pollachi

DMK+ : 2 ADMK+ : 2 Equally competitive : 2

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

122	Kinathukkadavu	ADMK
123	Pollachi	DMK
124	Valparai	DMK
125	Udumalaipettai	50(admk) - 50
126	Madathukulam	50(admk) - 50
119	Thondamuthur	ADMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Dindigul

DMK+ : 1 ADMK+ : 4 Equally competitive : 1

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

131	Natham	ADMK
132	Dindigul	ADMK
129	Athoor	DMK
128	Oddanchatram	50(admk) - 50
130	Nilakottai	ADMK
127	Palani	ADMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Karur

DMK+ : 0 ADMK+ : 5 Equally competitive : 1

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

134	Aravakurichi	50(admk) - 50
133	Vedasandur	ADMK
138	Manaparai	ADMK
136	Krishnarayapuram	ADMK
135	Karur	ADMK
179	Viralimalai	ADMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Tiruchirappalli

DMK+ : 1 ADMK+ : 3 Equally competitive : 2

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

142	Thiruverambur	ADMK
141	Thiruchirappalli East	50(admk) - 50
140	Thiruchirappalli West	50(admk) - 50
178	Gandharvakottai	ADMK
139	Srirangam	ADMK
180	Pudukkottai	DMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Perambalur

DMK+ : 1 ADMK+ : 2 Equally competitive : 3

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

137	Kulithalai	50(admk) - 50
144	Manachanallur	ADMK
146	Thuraiyur	50(admk) - 50
147	Perambalur	ADMK
145	Musiri	50(admk) - 50
143	Lalgudi	DMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Cuddalore

DMK+ : 0 ADMK+ : 3 Equally competitive : 3

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

155	Cuddalore	50(admk) - 50
153	Neyveli	ADMK
154	Panruti	ADMK
156	Kurinjipadi	50(admk) - 50
152	Vridhachalam	ADMK
151	Tittakudi	50(admk) - 50

Parliamentary Constituency : Chidambaram

DMK+ : 3 ADMK+ : 0 Equally competitive : 3

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

148	Kunnam	50 - 50(dmk)
149	Ariyalur	50 - 50(dmk)
158	Chidambaram	DMK
150	Jayankondam	DMK
157	Bhuvanagiri	50(admk) - 50
159	Kattumannarkoil	DMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Mayiladuturai

DMK+ : 0 ADMK+ : 5 Equally competitive : 1

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

160	Sirkali	50(admk) - 50
162	Poompuhar	ADMK
161	Mayiladuturai	ADMK
172	Papanasam	ADMK
171	Kumbakonam	ADMK
170	Thiruvidamarudur	ADMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Nagapattinam

DMK+ : 1 ADMK+ : 3 Equally competitive : 2

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

163	Nagapattinam	ADMK
165	Vedaranyam	50(admk) - 50
168	Tiruvarur	DMK
169	Nannilam	50(admk) - 50
166	Thiruthuraipoondi	ADMK
164	Kilvelur	ADMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Thanjavur

DMK+ : 1 ADMK+ : 4 Equally competitive : 1

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

173	Thiruvaiyaru	ADMK
167	Mannargudi	ADMK
177	Peravurani	ADMK
176	Pattukkottai	50(admk) - 50
174	Thanjavur	DMK
175	Orathanadu	ADMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Sivaganga

DMK+ : 0 ADMK+ : 6 Equally competitive : 0

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

185	Tiruppattur	ADMK
182	Alangudi	ADMK
184	Karaikudi	ADMK
181	Thirumayam	ADMK
186	Sivaganga	ADMK
187	Manamadurai	ADMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Madurai

DMK+ : 3 ADMK+ : 0 Equally competitive : 3

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

188	Melur	DMK
194	Madurai West	50(admk) - 50
189	Madurai East	DMK
191	Madurai North	50(admk) - 50
192	Madurai South	50(admk) - 50
193	Madurai Central	DMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Theni

DMK+ : 0 ADMK+ : 6 Equally competitive : 0

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

190	Sholavandan	ADMK
199	Periyakulam	ADMK
200	Bodinayakkanur	ADMK
201	Cumbum	ADMK
198	Andipatti	ADMK
197	Usilampatti	ADMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Virudhunagar

DMK+ : 0 ADMK+ : 4 Equally competitive : 2

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

207	Aruppukottai	50(admk) - 50
204	Sattur	ADMK
206	Virudhunagar	ADMK
205	Sivakasi	ADMK
196	Thirumangalam	50 - 50(dmk)
195	Thirupparankundram	ADMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Ramanathapuram

DMK+ : 1 ADMK+ : 3 Equally competitive : 2

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

211	Ramanathapuram	ADMK
209	Paramakudi	ADMK
210	Tiruvadanai	50(admk) - 50
212	Mudukulathur	ADMK
208	Tiruchuli	50(admk) - 50
183	Arantangi	DMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Thoothukkudi

DMK+ : 1 ADMK+ : 3 Equally competitive : 2

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

218	Koilpatti	ADMK
214	Thoothukkudi	50(admk) - 50
216	Srivaikuntam	50(admk) - 50
215	Tiruchendur	DMK
217	Ottapidaram	ADMK
213	Vilathikulam	ADMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Tenkasi

DMK+ : 0 ADMK+ : 6 Equally competitive : 0

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

219	Sankaranayanarkoil	ADMK
203	Srivilliputhur	ADMK
221	Kadayanallur	ADMK
222	Tenkasi	ADMK
202	Rajapalayam	ADMK
220	Vasudevanallur	ADMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Tirunelveli

DMK+ : 2 ADMK+ : 3 Equally competitive : 1

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

224	Tirunelveli	50(admk) - 50
228	Radhapuram	ADMK
227	Nanguneri	DMK
225	Ambasamudram	ADMK
226	Palayamcottai	DMK
223	Alangulam	ADMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Kanniyakumari

DMK+ : 5 ADMK+ : 0 Equally competitive : 0

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

229	Kanniyakumari	DMK
230	Nagercoil	BJP
231	Colachel	DMK
232	Padmanabhapuram	DMK
233	Vilavancode	DMK
234	Killiyoor	DMK

TamilNadu Assembly Election 2011 Results Forecast (Theory 2) - 5 percent Anti - Incumbency WAVE

2011-04-12T11:31:24.787-07:00

TamilNadu Assembly Election 2011 Results Forecast (Theory 2) - 5 percent Anti - Incumbency WAVE

Theory 2 - These results are based on the major factor : Anti-Incumbency wave (5%) swing

ADMK + : 142

DMK + : 91

ADMK+ : 70

Very good Margin Seats ( 15,000+ ) : 8

Good Margin Seats ( 7,000+ ) : 62

DMK+ : 43

Very good Margin Seats ( 15,000+ ) : 2

Good Margin Seats ( 7,000+ ) : 41

50 - 50 ( Tossup / Decision Inconclusive) : 120

Tossup : 48

50(admk) - 50 (ie., but inclined towards ADMK) : 48

50 - 50(dmk) (ie., but inclined towards DMK) : 24

Others (including BJP) : 1

Parliamentary Constituency : Tiruvallur

DMK+ : 0 ADMK+ : 6 Equally competitive : 0

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

2	Ponneri	ADMK
4	Tiruvallur	ADMK
5	Poonamallee	ADMK
6	Avadi	ADMK
9	Madavaram	ADMK
1	Gummidipundi	ADMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Chennai North

DMK+ : 1 ADMK+ : 2 Equally competitive : 3

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

15	Thiru-Vi-Ka-Nagar	50 - 50
10	Thiruvottiyur	50(admk) - 50
12	Perambur	ADMK
17	Royapuram	ADMK
13	Kolathur	DMK
11	Dr. Radhakrishnan Nagar	50(admk) - 50

Parliamentary Constituency : Chennai South

DMK+ : 1 ADMK+ : 4 Equally competitive : 1

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

22	Virugampakkam	ADMK
23	Saidapet	ADMK
24	Thiyagarayanagar	50 - 50
25	Mylapore	ADMK
26	Velachery	ADMK
27	Shozhinganallur	DMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Chennai Central

DMK+ : 1 ADMK+ : 0 Equally competitive : 5

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

16	Egmore	DMK
14	Villivakkam	50 - 50(dmk)
19	Chepauk-Thiruvallikeni	50 - 50(dmk)
20	Thousand Lights	50 - 50
21	Anna Nagar	50(admk) - 50
18	Harbour	50(admk) - 50

Parliamentary Constituency : Sriperumbudur

DMK+ : 1 ADMK+ : 2 Equally competitive : 3

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

31	Tambaram	50(admk) - 50
7	Maduravoyal	ADMK
8	Ambattur	ADMK
28	Alandur	50(admk) - 50
30	Pallavaram	50 - 50
29	Sriperumbudur	DMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Kancheepuram

DMK+ : 1 ADMK+ : 0 Equally competitive : 5

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

36	Uthiramerur	50(admk) - 50
34	Cheyyur	50(admk) - 50
32	Chengalpattu	50 - 50
37	Kancheepuram	DMK
35	Maduranthakam	50(admk) - 50
33	Tirupporur	50 - 50(dmk)

Parliamentary Constituency : Arakkonam

DMK+ : 4 ADMK+ : 0 Equally competitive : 2

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

3	Tiruttani	DMK
41	Ranipet	50 - 50(dmk)
38	Arakkonam	50 - 50(dmk)
42	Arcot	DMK
39	Sholingur	DMK
40	Katpadi	DMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Vellore

DMK+ : 2 ADMK+ : 0 Equally competitive : 4

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

43	Vellore	DMK
48	Ambur	50 - 50(dmk)
44	Anaicut	50 - 50
47	Vaniayambadi	DMK
46	Gudiyatham	50 - 50(dmk)
45	Kilvaithinankuppam	50 - 50(dmk)

Parliamentary Constituency : Krishnagiri

DMK+ : 0 ADMK+ : 1 Equally competitive : 5

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

52	Bargur	50(admk) - 50
54	Veppanahalli	50 - 50
51	Uthangarai	ADMK
55	Hosur	50 - 50(dmk)
56	Thalli	50(admk) - 50
53	Krishnagiri	50 - 50

Parliamentary Constituency : Dharmapuri

DMK+ : 2 ADMK+ : 0 Equally competitive : 4

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

61	Harur	DMK
57	Palacode	50 - 50(dmk)
59	Dharmapuri	50 - 50(dmk)
58	Pennagaram	50 - 50(dmk)
60	Papireddippatti	DMK
85	Mettur	50 - 50(dmk)

Parliamentary Constituency : Tiruvannamalai

DMK+ : 1 ADMK+ : 0 Equally competitive : 5

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

64	Kilpennathur	50 - 50(dmk)
62	Chengam	50 - 50
63	Tiruvannamalai	DMK
65	Kalasapakkam	50 - 50(dmk)
49	Jolarpet	50 - 50
50	Tiruppattur	50 - 50(dmk)

Parliamentary Constituency : Arani

DMK+ : 4 ADMK+ : 0 Equally competitive : 2

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

69	Vandavasi	DMK
70	Gingee	50 - 50
66	Polur	DMK
68	Cheyyar	DMK
71	Mallam	50 - 50
67	Arni	DMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Viluppuram

DMK+ : 0 ADMK+ : 3 Equally competitive : 3

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

76	Tirukkoyilur	50(admk) - 50
73	Vanur	50(admk) - 50
74	Villupuram	ADMK
77	Ulundurpet	ADMK
72	Tindivanam	50(admk) - 50
75	Vikaravandi	ADMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Kallakurichi

DMK+ : 0 ADMK+ : 1 Equally competitive : 5

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

83	Yercaud	50(admk) - 50
82	Attur	50 - 50
80	Kallakurichi	50(admk) - 50
79	Sankarapuram	50 - 50(dmk)
78	Rishivandiam	ADMK
81	Gangavalli	50 - 50

Parliamentary Constituency : Salem

DMK+ : 0 ADMK+ : 5 Equally competitive : 1

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

89	Salem North	ADMK
91	Veerapandi	50(admk) - 50
88	Salem West	ADMK
84	Omalur	ADMK
86	Edapadi	ADMK
90	Salem South	ADMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Namakkal

DMK+ : 0 ADMK+ : 0 Equally competitive : 6

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

92	Rasipuram	50(admk) - 50
94	Namakkal	50 - 50
95	Paramathi Velur	50(admk) - 50
87	Sankari	50 - 50
96	Tiruchengode	50 - 50
93	Sendamangalam	50 - 50

Parliamentary Constituency : Erode

DMK+ : 0 ADMK+ : 0 Equally competitive : 6

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

98	Erode East	50(admk) - 50
100	Modakurichi	50 - 50
102	Kangayam	50(admk) - 50
101	Dharapuram	50 - 50
99	Erode West	50 - 50
97	Kumarapalayam	50 - 50

Parliamentary Constituency : Tiruppur

DMK+ : 0 ADMK+ : 4 Equally competitive : 2

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

113	Tiruppur North	ADMK
105	Andhiyur	50(admk) - 50
104	Bhavani	ADMK
103	Perundurai	50(admk) - 50
106	Gobichettipalayam	ADMK
114	Tiruppur South	ADMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Nilgiris

DMK+ : 3 ADMK+ : 1 Equally competitive : 2

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

109	Gudalur	DMK
107	Bhavanisagar	50 - 50
108	Udhagamandalam	DMK
110	Coonoor	DMK
111	Metuppalayam	50 - 50
112	Avanashi	ADMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Coimbatore

DMK+ : 0 ADMK+ : 1 Equally competitive : 5

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

117	Kavundampalayam	50(admk) - 50
116	Sulur	50 - 50
121	Singanallur	50(admk) - 50
118	Coimbatore North	ADMK
120	Coimbatore South	50 - 50(dmk)
115	Palladam	50 - 50

Parliamentary Constituency : Pollachi

DMK+ : 2 ADMK+ : 2 Equally competitive : 2

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

122	Kinathukkadavu	ADMK
123	Pollachi	DMK
124	Valparai	DMK
125	Udumalaipettai	50 - 50
126	Madathukulam	50 - 50
119	Thondamuthur	ADMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Dindigul

DMK+ : 1 ADMK+ : 3 Equally competitive : 2

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

131	Natham	ADMK
132	Dindigul	ADMK
129	Athoor	DMK
128	Oddanchatram	50 - 50
130	Nilakottai	50(admk) - 50
127	Palani	ADMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Karur

DMK+ : 0 ADMK+ : 4 Equally competitive : 2

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

134	Aravakurichi	50 - 50
133	Vedasandur	ADMK
138	Manaparai	ADMK
136	Krishnarayapuram	ADMK
135	Karur	ADMK
179	Viralimalai	50(admk) - 50

Parliamentary Constituency : Tiruchirappalli

DMK+ : 1 ADMK+ : 2 Equally competitive : 3

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

142	Thiruverambur	ADMK
141	Thiruchirappalli East	50 - 50
140	Thiruchirappalli West	50 - 50
178	Gandharvakottai	50(admk) - 50
139	Srirangam	ADMK
180	Pudukkottai	DMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Perambalur

DMK+ : 1 ADMK+ : 1 Equally competitive : 4

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

137	Kulithalai	50 - 50
144	Manachanallur	ADMK
146	Thuraiyur	50 - 50
147	Perambalur	50(admk) - 50
145	Musiri	50 - 50
143	Lalgudi	DMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Cuddalore

DMK+ : 0 ADMK+ : 1 Equally competitive : 5

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

155	Cuddalore	50 - 50
153	Neyveli	50(admk) - 50
154	Panruti	ADMK
156	Kurinjipadi	50 - 50(dmk)
152	Vridhachalam	50(admk) - 50
151	Tittakudi	50 - 50

Parliamentary Constituency : Chidambaram

DMK+ : 3 ADMK+ : 0 Equally competitive : 3

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

148	Kunnam	50 - 50(dmk)
149	Ariyalur	50 - 50(dmk)
158	Chidambaram	DMK
150	Jayankondam	DMK
157	Bhuvanagiri	50 - 50
159	Kattumannarkoil	DMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Mayiladuturai

DMK+ : 0 ADMK+ : 2 Equally competitive : 4

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

160	Sirkali	50 - 50
162	Poompuhar	ADMK
161	Mayiladuturai	ADMK
172	Papanasam	50(admk) - 50
171	Kumbakonam	50(admk) - 50
170	Thiruvidamarudur	50(admk) - 50

Parliamentary Constituency : Nagapattinam

DMK+ : 1 ADMK+ : 2 Equally competitive : 3

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

163	Nagapattinam	50(admk) - 50
165	Vedaranyam	50 - 50(dmk)
168	Tiruvarur	DMK
169	Nannilam	50 - 50
166	Thiruthuraipoondi	ADMK
164	Kilvelur	ADMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Thanjavur

DMK+ : 1 ADMK+ : 1 Equally competitive : 4

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

173	Thiruvaiyaru	50(admk) - 50
167	Mannargudi	50(admk) - 50
177	Peravurani	50(admk) - 50
176	Pattukkottai	50 - 50
174	Thanjavur	DMK
175	Orathanadu	ADMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Sivaganga

DMK+ : 0 ADMK+ : 3 Equally competitive : 3

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

185	Tiruppattur	ADMK
182	Alangudi	50(admk) - 50
184	Karaikudi	50(admk) - 50
181	Thirumayam	50(admk) - 50
186	Sivaganga	ADMK
187	Manamadurai	ADMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Madurai

DMK+ : 3 ADMK+ : 0 Equally competitive : 3

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

188	Melur	DMK
194	Madurai West	50 - 50(dmk)
189	Madurai East	DMK
191	Madurai North	50 - 50
192	Madurai South	50 - 50
193	Madurai Central	DMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Theni

DMK+ : 0 ADMK+ : 6 Equally competitive : 0

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

190	Sholavandan	ADMK
199	Periyakulam	ADMK
200	Bodinayakkanur	ADMK
201	Cumbum	ADMK
198	Andipatti	ADMK
197	Usilampatti	ADMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Virudhunagar

DMK+ : 0 ADMK+ : 3 Equally competitive : 3

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

207	Aruppukottai	50 - 50
204	Sattur	50(admk) - 50
206	Virudhunagar	ADMK
205	Sivakasi	ADMK
196	Thirumangalam	50 - 50(dmk)
195	Thirupparankundram	ADMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Ramanathapuram

DMK+ : 1 ADMK+ : 0 Equally competitive : 5

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

211	Ramanathapuram	50(admk) - 50
209	Paramakudi	50(admk) - 50
210	Tiruvadanai	50 - 50
212	Mudukulathur	50(admk) - 50
208	Tiruchuli	50(admk) - 50
183	Arantangi	DMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Thoothukkudi

DMK+ : 1 ADMK+ : 2 Equally competitive : 3

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

218	Koilpatti	ADMK
214	Thoothukkudi	50 - 50
216	Srivaikuntam	50 - 50
215	Tiruchendur	DMK
217	Ottapidaram	ADMK
213	Vilathikulam	50(admk) - 50

Parliamentary Constituency : Tenkasi

DMK+ : 0 ADMK+ : 6 Equally competitive : 0

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

219	Sankaranayanarkoil	ADMK
203	Srivilliputhur	ADMK
221	Kadayanallur	ADMK
222	Tenkasi	ADMK
202	Rajapalayam	ADMK
220	Vasudevanallur	ADMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Tirunelveli

DMK+ : 2 ADMK+ : 2 Equally competitive : 2

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

224	Tirunelveli	50 - 50
228	Radhapuram	ADMK
227	Nanguneri	DMK
225	Ambasamudram	ADMK
226	Palayamcottai	DMK
223	Alangulam	50(admk) - 50

Parliamentary Constituency : Kanniyakumari

DMK+ : 5 ADMK+ : 0 Equally competitive : 0

AC No.	Assembly Constituencies	Winning Chance

229	Kanniyakumari	DMK
230	Nagercoil	BJP
231	Colachel	DMK
232	Padmanabhapuram	DMK
233	Vilavancode	DMK
234	Killiyoor	DMK

TamilNadu Assembly Election 2011 Results Forecast (Theory 1)

2011-04-09T12:18:22.214-07:00

TamilNadu Assembly Election 2011 Results Forecast (Theory 1)

(Theory 1)- These results doesnt include any Anti-Incumbency wave. Check out the other forecast - which includes the major factors. This result is the maximum DMK alliance can get in the TamilNadu Assembly Election 2011

ADMK + : 118

DMK + : 115

ADMK+ : 70

Very good Margin Seats ( 15,000+ ) : 8

Good Margin Seats ( 7,000+ ) : 62

DMK+ : 43

Very good Margin Seats ( 15,000+ ) : 2

Good Margin Seats ( 7,000+ ) : 41

50 - 50 ( Tossup / Decision Inconclusive) : 120

Tossup : 0

50(admk) - 50 (ie., but inclined towards ADMK) : 48

50 - 50(dmk) (ie., but inclined towards DMK) : 72

Others (including BJP) : 1

Parliamentary Constituency : Tiruvallur

DMK+ : 0 ADMK+ : 6 Equally competitive : 0

2	Ponneri	ADMK
4	Tiruvallur	ADMK
5	Poonamallee	ADMK
6	Avadi	ADMK
9	Madavaram	ADMK
1	Gummidipundi	ADMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Chennai North

DMK+ : 1 ADMK+ : 2 Equally competitive : 3

15	Thiru-Vi-Ka-Nagar	50 - 50(dmk)
10	Thiruvottiyur	50(admk) - 50
12	Perambur	ADMK
17	Royapuram	ADMK
13	Kolathur	DMK
11	Dr. Radhakrishnan Nagar	50(admk) - 50

Parliamentary Constituency : Chennai South

DMK+ : 1 ADMK+ : 4 Equally competitive : 1

22	Virugampakkam	ADMK
23	Saidapet	ADMK
24	Thiyagarayanagar	50 - 50(dmk)
25	Mylapore	ADMK
26	Velachery	ADMK
27	Shozhinganallur	DMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Chennai Central

DMK+ : 1 ADMK+ : 0 Equally competitive : 5

16	Egmore	DMK
14	Villivakkam	50 - 50(dmk)
19	Chepauk-Thiruvallikeni	50 - 50(dmk)
20	Thousand Lights	50 - 50(dmk)
21	Anna Nagar	50(admk) - 50
18	Harbour	50(admk) - 50

Parliamentary Constituency : Sriperumbudur

DMK+ : 1 ADMK+ : 2 Equally competitive : 3

31	Tambaram	50(admk) - 50
7	Maduravoyal	ADMK
8	Ambattur	ADMK
28	Alandur	50(admk) - 50
30	Pallavaram	50 - 50(dmk)
29	Sriperumbudur	DMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Kancheepuram

DMK+ : 1 ADMK+ : 0 Equally competitive : 5

36	Uthiramerur	50(admk) - 50
34	Cheyyur	50(admk) - 50
32	Chengalpattu	50 - 50(dmk)
37	Kancheepuram	DMK
35	Maduranthakam	50(admk) - 50
33	Tirupporur	50 - 50(dmk)

Parliamentary Constituency : Arakkonam

DMK+ : 4 ADMK+ : 0 Equally competitive : 2

3	Tiruttani	DMK
41	Ranipet	50 - 50(dmk)
38	Arakkonam	50 - 50(dmk)
42	Arcot	DMK
39	Sholingur	DMK
40	Katpadi	DMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Vellore

DMK+ : 2 ADMK+ : 0 Equally competitive : 4

43	Vellore	DMK
48	Ambur	50 - 50(dmk)
44	Anaicut	50 - 50(dmk)
47	Vaniayambadi	DMK
46	Gudiyatham	50 - 50(dmk)
45	Kilvaithinankuppam	50 - 50(dmk)

Parliamentary Constituency : Krishnagiri

DMK+ : 0 ADMK+ : 1 Equally competitive : 5

52	Bargur	50(admk) - 50
54	Veppanahalli	50 - 50(dmk)
51	Uthangarai	ADMK
55	Hosur	50 - 50(dmk)
56	Thalli	50(admk) - 50
53	Krishnagiri	50 - 50(dmk)

Parliamentary Constituency : Dharmapuri

DMK+ : 2 ADMK+ : 0 Equally competitive : 4

61	Harur	DMK
57	Palacode	50 - 50(dmk)
59	Dharmapuri	50 - 50(dmk)
58	Pennagaram	50 - 50(dmk)
60	Papireddippatti	DMK
85	Mettur	50 - 50(dmk)

Parliamentary Constituency : Tiruvannamalai

DMK+ : 1 ADMK+ : 0 Equally competitive : 5

64	Kilpennathur	50 - 50(dmk)
62	Chengam	50 - 50(dmk)
63	Tiruvannamalai	DMK
65	Kalasapakkam	50 - 50(dmk)
49	Jolarpet	50 - 50(dmk)
50	Tiruppattur	50 - 50(dmk)

Parliamentary Constituency : Arani

DMK+ : 4 ADMK+ : 0 Equally competitive : 2

69	Vandavasi	DMK
70	Gingee	50 - 50(dmk)
66	Polur	DMK
68	Cheyyar	DMK
71	Mallam	50 - 50(dmk)
67	Arni	DMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Viluppuram

DMK+ : 0 ADMK+ : 3 Equally competitive : 3

76	Tirukkoyilur	50(admk) - 50
73	Vanur	50(admk) - 50
74	Villupuram	ADMK
77	Ulundurpet	ADMK
72	Tindivanam	50(admk) - 50
75	Vikaravandi	ADMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Kallakurichi

DMK+ : 0 ADMK+ : 1 Equally competitive : 5

83	Yercaud	50(admk) - 50
82	Attur	50 - 50(dmk)
80	Kallakurichi	50(admk) - 50
79	Sankarapuram	50 - 50(dmk)
78	Rishivandiam	ADMK
81	Gangavalli	50 - 50(dmk)

Parliamentary Constituency : Salem

DMK+ : 0 ADMK+ : 5 Equally competitive : 1

89	Salem North	ADMK
91	Veerapandi	50(admk) - 50
88	Salem West	ADMK
84	Omalur	ADMK
86	Edapadi	ADMK
90	Salem South	ADMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Namakkal

DMK+ : 0 ADMK+ : 0 Equally competitive : 6

92	Rasipuram	50(admk) - 50
94	Namakkal	50 - 50(dmk)
95	Paramathi Velur	50(admk) - 50
87	Sankari	50 - 50(dmk)
96	Tiruchengode	50 - 50(dmk)
93	Sendamangalam	50 - 50(dmk)

Parliamentary Constituency : Erode

DMK+ : 0 ADMK+ : 0 Equally competitive : 6

98	Erode East	50(admk) - 50
100	Modakurichi	50 - 50(dmk)
102	Kangayam	50(admk) - 50
101	Dharapuram	50 - 50(dmk)
99	Erode West	50 - 50(dmk)
97	Kumarapalayam	50 - 50(dmk)

Parliamentary Constituency : Tiruppur

DMK+ : 0 ADMK+ : 4 Equally competitive : 2

113	Tiruppur North	ADMK
105	Andhiyur	50(admk) - 50
104	Bhavani	ADMK
103	Perundurai	50(admk) - 50
106	Gobichettipalayam	ADMK
114	Tiruppur South	ADMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Nilgiris

DMK+ : 3 ADMK+ : 1 Equally competitive : 2

109	Gudalur	DMK
107	Bhavanisagar	50 - 50(dmk)
108	Udhagamandalam	DMK
110	Coonoor	DMK
111	Metuppalayam	50 - 50(dmk)
112	Avanashi	ADMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Coimbatore

DMK+ : 0 ADMK+ : 1 Equally competitive : 5

117	Kavundampalayam	50(admk) - 50
116	Sulur	50 - 50(dmk)
121	Singanallur	50(admk) - 50
118	Coimbatore North	ADMK
120	Coimbatore South	50 - 50(dmk)
115	Palladam	50 - 50(dmk)

Parliamentary Constituency : Pollachi

DMK+ : 2 ADMK+ : 2 Equally competitive : 2

122	Kinathukkadavu	ADMK
123	Pollachi	DMK
124	Valparai	DMK
125	Udumalaipettai	50 - 50(dmk)
126	Madathukulam	50 - 50(dmk)
119	Thondamuthur	ADMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Dindigul

DMK+ : 1 ADMK+ : 3 Equally competitive : 2

131	Natham	ADMK
132	Dindigul	ADMK
129	Athoor	DMK
128	Oddanchatram	50 - 50(dmk)
130	Nilakottai	50(admk) - 50
127	Palani	ADMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Karur

DMK+ : 0 ADMK+ : 4 Equally competitive : 2

134	Aravakurichi	50 - 50(dmk)
133	Vedasandur	ADMK
138	Manaparai	ADMK
136	Krishnarayapuram	ADMK
135	Karur	ADMK
179	Viralimalai	50(admk) - 50

Parliamentary Constituency : Tiruchirappalli

DMK+ : 1 ADMK+ : 2 Equally competitive : 3

142	Thiruverambur	ADMK
141	Thiruchirappalli East	50 - 50(dmk)
140	Thiruchirappalli West	50 - 50(dmk)
178	Gandharvakottai	50(admk) - 50
139	Srirangam	ADMK
180	Pudukkottai	DMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Perambalur

DMK+ : 1 ADMK+ : 1 Equally competitive : 4

137	Kulithalai	50 - 50(dmk)
144	Manachanallur	ADMK
146	Thuraiyur	50 - 50(dmk)
147	Perambalur	50(admk) - 50
145	Musiri	50 - 50(dmk)
143	Lalgudi	DMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Cuddalore

DMK+ : 0 ADMK+ : 1 Equally competitive : 5

155	Cuddalore	50 - 50(dmk)
153	Neyveli	50(admk) - 50
154	Panruti	ADMK
156	Kurinjipadi	50 - 50(dmk)
152	Vridhachalam	50(admk) - 50
151	Tittakudi	50 - 50(dmk)

Parliamentary Constituency : Chidambaram

DMK+ : 3 ADMK+ : 0 Equally competitive : 3

148	Kunnam	50 - 50(dmk)
149	Ariyalur	50 - 50(dmk)
158	Chidambaram	DMK
150	Jayankondam	DMK
157	Bhuvanagiri	50 - 50(dmk)
159	Kattumannarkoil	DMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Mayiladuturai

DMK+ : 0 ADMK+ : 2 Equally competitive : 4

160	Sirkali	50 - 50(dmk)
162	Poompuhar	ADMK
161	Mayiladuturai	ADMK
172	Papanasam	50(admk) - 50
171	Kumbakonam	50(admk) - 50
170	Thiruvidamarudur	50(admk) - 50

Parliamentary Constituency : Nagapattinam

DMK+ : 1 ADMK+ : 2 Equally competitive : 3

163	Nagapattinam	50(admk) - 50
165	Vedaranyam	50 - 50(dmk)
168	Tiruvarur	DMK
169	Nannilam	50 - 50(dmk)
166	Thiruthuraipoondi	ADMK
164	Kilvelur	ADMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Thanjavur

DMK+ : 1 ADMK+ : 1 Equally competitive : 4

173	Thiruvaiyaru	50(admk) - 50
167	Mannargudi	50(admk) - 50
177	Peravurani	50(admk) - 50
176	Pattukkottai	50 - 50(dmk)
174	Thanjavur	DMK
175	Orathanadu	ADMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Sivaganga

DMK+ : 0 ADMK+ : 3 Equally competitive : 3

185	Tiruppattur	ADMK
182	Alangudi	50(admk) - 50
184	Karaikudi	50(admk) - 50
181	Thirumayam	50(admk) - 50
186	Sivaganga	ADMK
187	Manamadurai	ADMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Madurai

DMK+ : 3 ADMK+ : 0 Equally competitive : 3

188	Melur	DMK
194	Madurai West	50 - 50(dmk)
189	Madurai East	DMK
191	Madurai North	50 - 50(dmk)
192	Madurai South	50 - 50(dmk)
193	Madurai Central	DMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Theni

DMK+ : 0 ADMK+ : 6 Equally competitive : 0

190	Sholavandan	ADMK
199	Periyakulam	ADMK
200	Bodinayakkanur	ADMK
201	Cumbum	ADMK
198	Andipatti	ADMK
197	Usilampatti	ADMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Virudhunagar

DMK+ : 0 ADMK+ : 3 Equally competitive : 3

207	Aruppukottai	50 - 50(dmk)
204	Sattur	50(admk) - 50
206	Virudhunagar	ADMK
205	Sivakasi	ADMK
196	Thirumangalam	50 - 50(dmk)
195	Thirupparankundram	ADMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Ramanathapuram

DMK+ : 1 ADMK+ : 0 Equally competitive : 5

211	Ramanathapuram	50(admk) - 50
209	Paramakudi	50(admk) - 50
210	Tiruvadanai	50 - 50(dmk)
212	Mudukulathur	50(admk) - 50
208	Tiruchuli	50(admk) - 50
183	Arantangi	DMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Thoothukkudi

DMK+ : 1 ADMK+ : 2 Equally competitive : 3

218	Koilpatti	ADMK
214	Thoothukkudi	50 - 50(dmk)
216	Srivaikuntam	50 - 50(dmk)
215	Tiruchendur	DMK
217	Ottapidaram	ADMK
213	Vilathikulam	50(admk) - 50

Parliamentary Constituency : Tenkasi

DMK+ : 0 ADMK+ : 6 Equally competitive : 0

219	Sankaranayanarkoil	ADMK
203	Srivilliputhur	ADMK
221	Kadayanallur	ADMK
222	Tenkasi	ADMK
202	Rajapalayam	ADMK
220	Vasudevanallur	ADMK

Parliamentary Constituency : Tirunelveli

DMK+ : 2 ADMK+ : 2 Equally competitive : 2

224	Tirunelveli	50 - 50(dmk)
228	Radhapuram	ADMK
227	Nanguneri	DMK
225	Ambasamudram	ADMK
226	Palayamcottai	DMK
223	Alangulam	50(admk) - 50

Parliamentary Constituency : Kanniyakumari

DMK+ : 5 ADMK+ : 0 Equally competitive : 0

229	Kanniyakumari	DMK
230	Nagercoil	BJP
231	Colachel	DMK
232	Padmanabhapuram	DMK
233	Vilavancode	DMK
234	Killiyoor	DMK

Today's Politics

2011-04-05T20:03:46.8264932-07:00

Today's Politics

From a forwarded Email.

Election 2011 Jokes !

2011-03-23T22:30:17.8796546-07:00

Election 2011 Jokes

From a forwarded Email.

Will Kongunadu Munnetra Kazhagam(KMK) alliance with DMK for TamilNadu assembly election 2011 workout ?

2011-03-07T03:16:42.906-07:00

Few days back Kongunadu Munnetra Kazhagam joined DMK alliance for contesting in the TamilNadu Assembly Election 2011 and secured 7 seats. I would say this is a very good number for a new small – unrecognized party. Lot of news source confirms that they preffered to join AIADMK alliance, but J Jayalalitha didn’t respond properly.

Kongunadu Munnetra Kazhagam contested in 12 Parliamentary constituency in the last General elections to the parliament (2009). Even though they didn’t win anywhere, they got a considerable amount of votes in their *main belt* which is widely called as Kongu Belt viz, Coimbatore, Tiruppur , Pollachi & Erode(of course there are lot of Kongu Vella Gounders present in Namakkal & Karur – but a part of this constituency can only be considered in Kongu belt – but exactly there is no map for kongu belt though !) Almost all of the MLAs, MPs, in the kongu belt regardless of the Party are from Kongu Vellala Gounder community.

In all the four Parliamentary Constituencies (Coimbatore, Tiruppur , Pollachi & Erode) – DMK alliance in the 2009 Parliament Election lost its victory and the main reason considered is because of KMK. *But* when we see the results of previous elections mostly AIADMK had upper hand. Apart from Kongunadu Munnetra Kazhagam(KMK), DMDK is also equally strong in kongu belt. Coimbatore & Niligris area have considerable amount of Congress supporters and MDMK(which is broken now) *and* Communist !

I would say, DMDK, Communists and KMK have equal share in Coimbatore & Tiruppur. Well, AIADMK have major share though :-) After the 1999 Coimbatore bomb blast BJP got a great chance to grow, but CPR (CP Radhakrishnan) falied to make any attempt to grow BJP, instead he attended all marriages and death rituals !! He is also from the same Kongu Vellala Gounder community. So, KMK is not the sole reason for DMK’s Loss. But to defeat or to equate DMDK’s vote bank, DMK for sure needs KMK.

Election 2011 Results Forecast for Kongu Belt

All these are calculated with the past election results - supporting DMK. Also, anti incumbency wave of DMK is not considered and if we calculate it as 10%, DMK will not get more than 3 seats in the kongu belt and if its more than 20%, then DMK alliance will not get any seats in this region - so KMK's support helps them to try hard to get few seats in the 24 assembly seats and nothing much...

So, its not necessary for JJ amma to talk to KMK !!

TamilNadu Assembly Election 2011 Polling Date Announced

2011-03-01T21:25:10.04-07:00

TamilNadu/Pondicherry Assembly Election 2011 Polling Date Announced

The dates for Assembly elections 2011 in Kerala, West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Assam and Pondicherry is announced by the Election Commission of India.

For TamilNadu, Pondhicherry(Puducherry) & Kerala the dates are the same :

Nominations starts on	19th Mar 2011
Last Date for Making Nominations	26th Mar 2011
Last Date for Withdrawal of Nomination	30th Mar 2011
Date of Poll	13th Apr 2011
Counting of Votes	13th May 2011

Generally Election Commission conducts election for TamilNadu and Pondicherry in the last phase and in one phase - as there wont be any problems arising due to terrorists or naxals or any anti-social elements. This time the same has happened like only one phase, but its in the first phase. West Bengal has six phases. So we need to wait for a month for the results which is new for TamilNadu but not for other states like Andhra Pradesh, WestBengal, Bihar etc...

Check out the polling schedule for TamilNadu Assembly Election 2006 here.

DMK & PMK relationship in the last two years ( DMK - PMK pre election 2011 stories )

2011-02-27T04:33:00-07:00

அரசியல்ல இதெல்லாம் சாதாரணமப்பா...!

Source [Dinamalar]

தலைப்பு என்னவோ உண்மை தான். ஆனால், அதை எல்லாம் தாண்டி அசாதாரணமானது, தி.மு.க., - பா.ம.க., உறவு. "துரோகம்... துரோகம்... பச்சைத் துரோகம்' என, தி.மு.க., தலைவரை விமர்சித்த அதே வாய், இன்று, "மீண்டும் மகத்தான வெற்றி பெற்று ஆறாவது முறை தமிழக முதல்வராக வருவார் கருணாநிதி' என்கிறது. இரு தரப்பு விமர்சனங்கள் ஏராளம். அவற்றில், நினைவில் நின்றவை மட்டும் இங்கே.

* ஆட்சியைத் தக்கவைக்க, காங்கிரசின் தயவு வேண்டும் என்பதால், இலங்கைத் தமிழர்களுக்கு கருணாநிதி துரோகம் செய்துவிட்டார். - ராமதாஸ், 25.3.2009

* இலங்கைத் தமிழர் பிரச்னையில் முதல்வர் கருணாநிதி மாற்றி மாற்றி பேசுகிறார். இருப்பது ஓர் உயிர். அது, இலங்கைத் தமிழர்களுக்காகப் போகட்டும் என்றார். பின்னர், "மத்திய அரசு நினைத்தால், இலங்கைத் தமிழர்களின் உயிர்களைக் காப்பாற்றலாம். இல்லையென்றால், இங்குள்ள தமிழர்களும் சாக வேண்டியது தான்' என்றார். அதிலிருந்தும் பல்டியடித்து, "இலங்கைத் தமிழர் பிரச்னையில் இதை விட அதிகமாக செய்வதற்கு எதுவும் இல்லை' என்கிறார். - ராமதாஸ், 11.4.2009

* இலங்கைத் தமிழர்களுக்கு காங்கிரஸ் துரோகம் செய்துவிட்டதாகக் கூறும் ராமதாஸ், மத்திய அமைச்சரவையில் தன் மகனை இன்னும் நீடிக்கச் செய்வது ஏன்? பதவியை ராஜினாமா செய்துவிட்டு இதையெல்லாம் பேசியிருந்தால், ராமதாஸ் நேர்மையானவர் என கருதலாம். - கருணாநிதி, 16.4.2009

* தமிழக முதல்வர் கருணாநிதி டில்லி சென்று, காங்கிரஸ் தலைவர் சோனியாவின் முன் அமர்ந்து, இலங்கைப் போரை நிறுத்தும்படி வலியுறுத்தியிருக்க வேண்டும். மாறாக, பொது வேலை நிறுத்தத்துக்கு அழைப்பு விடுப்பதெல்லாம் கண் துடைப்பு வேலை. - அன்புமணி, 22.4.2009

* லோக்சபா தேர்தலில் அ.தி.மு.க., கூட்டணி, 40க்கு, 40 தொகுதிகளிலும் மாபெரும் வெற்றி பெறும். தேர்தல் முடிந்ததும், தமிழக அரசியலிலும், தி.மு.க., ஆட்சியிலும் மிகப் பெரிய மாற்றம் ஏற்படும். - ராமதாஸ், 27.4.2009

* பஸ் கட்டணக் குறைப்பு என்பது, இதற்கு முன் கேள்விப்பட்டிராதது. லோக்சபா தேர்தலை ஒட்டி இந்த நடவடிக்கையை எடுத்துள்ள முதல்வர் கருணாநிதியும், போக்குவரத்து அமைச்சர் நேருவும் தங்கள் பதவியை ராஜினாமா செய்ய வேண்டும். - ராமதாஸ், 3.5.2009

* லோக்சபா தேர்தல் வருவதால், இலங்கைத் தமிழர் பிரச்னையில் தமிழக மக்களை ராமதாஸ் ஏமாற்றுகிறார். அவருக்கு இந்தத் தேர்தலில் மக்கள் சரியான பாடம் புகட்ட வேண்டும். - ஸ்டாலின், 7.5.2009

* டாஸ்மாக் நிறுவனம், 12,300 கோடி ரூபாய் லாபத்தில் இயங்குவதாக, தி.மு.க., அரசு சொல்கிறது. அது, ஏழைகளிடம் இருந்து சுரண்டப்பட்ட பணம். - ராமதாஸ், 9.1.2010

* குடிசை மாற்று வாரியம் என்பது, குடிசைகளை ஒழித்து, அவர்களுக்கு அடுக்குமாடி குடியிருப்புகள் கட்டுவதற்காக, 1967ம் ஆண்டு தி.மு.க., அரசால் உருவாக்கப்பட்டது. ஆனால், சென்னை இன்னமும் குடிசைகளின் நகரமாகத் தான் இருக்கிறது. - ராமதாஸ், 9.1.2010

* தி.மு.க., - அ.தி.மு.க., என எந்தக் கட்சியும் கூட்டணி வைக்கத் தயாராக இல்லாததால், விரைவில் பா.ம.க., என்ற கட்சியே காணாமல் போய்விடும். - ஸ்டாலின், 19.1.2010

* வாக்காளர்களுக்கு இலவச வேட்டி, சேலை வினியோகிக்கும்போது தி.மு.க.,வினர் கையும், களவுமாக பிடிக்கப்பட்டுள்ளனர். அப்படியும் அவர்கள் மீது போலீசார் நடவடிக்கை எடுக்க மறுக்கின்றனர். - ராமதாஸ், 27.2.2010

* தி.மு.க.,வுடனான கூட்டணியில் மீண்டும் இணைய நாங்கள் விரும்புகிறோம்; ராஜ்யசபா சீட் ஒன்றை எங்களுக்கு ஒதுக்க வேண்டும். - ராமதாஸ், கடிதம்

* வரும் 2011ம் ஆண்டு சட்டசபை தேர்தலுக்குப் பிறகு தான் ராஜ்யசபா தேர்தலில் சீட் ஒதுக்குவது பற்றி பரிசீலிக்கப்படும். - தி.மு.க., தீர்மானம், 30.5.2010

* தன்னைத் தானே சமூக நீதி போராளி என அழைத்துக்கொள்ளும் கருணாநிதி, ஜாதிவாரி கணக்கெடுப்புக்குத் தயாராக இல்லாதது துரதிர்ஷ்டவசமானது. - ராமதாஸ், 26.8.2010

* புராணங்களில் குரு என்றழைக்கப்பட்ட சுக்கிராச்சாரியார், நல்லவற்றை நடக்கவிடாமல் தடுத்து வந்தார். (காடுவெட்டி ) குரு என்றால் அது தான் அர்த்தம். - கருணாநிதி, 5.9.2010

* இந்தியாவிலேயே அதிகம் இளம் விதவைகள் இருப்பது தமிழகத்தில் தான். பூரண மதுவிலக்கு அமல்படுத்தப்படும் வரை இந்நிலை தான் தொடரும். - ராமதாஸ், 8.1.2011

* காங்கிரஸ், பா.ம.க., விடுதலைச் சிறுத்தைகள் உள்ளிட்ட கட்சிகள் எங்கள் கூட்டணியில் உள்ளன. - கருணாநிதி, 30.1.2011

* கூட்டணி குறித்து பா.ம.க., இன்னும் முடிவு செய்யவில்லை. எங்களுக்கு பல்வேறு தரப்பில் இருந்து அழைப்பு வருகிறது. - ராமதாஸ், 30.1.2011

* பா.ம.க., இருக்கிறது என்று நாங்கள் சொன்னபோது, அவர் மறுத்தார். இனி, கூட்டணி பற்றிய கேள்விக்கே இடமில்லை. - கருணாநிதி, 1.2.2011

* பா.ம.க.,வை கூட்டணியில் சேர்க்க சோனியா விரும்பவில்லை. டில்லியில் அவர் என்னிடம், "எதிரிகளைக் கூட மன்னித்துவிடலாம்; துரோகிகளை மன்னிக்கக் கூடாது' என்றார். - கருணாநிதி, 3.2.2011

* தி.மு.க., - பா.ம.க., கூட்டணி மகத்தான வெற்றி பெறும். - ராமதாஸ், 17.2.2011