MK lists the break up of DPA member s' Constituency

DMK President & TN DPA Leader M Karunanidhi, lists the break up of DMK & other DPA members constituencies. As said before, Congress has been allotted 48 seats, PMK 31, CPI (M) 13, CPI 10, and IUML 3.

The term for the Tamil Nadu Assembly is going to expire this 21st May 2006, so Election Commission of India announced the elections to TamilNadu & other states whose term is also expiring viz., Assam, Kerala, West Bengal & Pondicherry. From that time, the Big B in the TN politics where busy. And, last week Dr. M Karunanidhi finalized the seats for the other DPA member parties like Congress (INC), CPI, CPM & PMK.

This evening, DMK releases Constituency - wise break up of the DPA parties. As said before DMK i going to contest in 129 places only, for majority they have to get ( 234/2 = 117) + 1  i.e,118. The turn out ratio for DMK to form a majority government is 118/129*100 which is 91.74 %. Getting 91.74% is impossible, so there is only a possibility of a Coalition government, if and only if DMK alliance gets the *majority* than AIADMK alliance.

Sonia resigns as Lok Sabha MP

Congress (INC) President & UPA Chairman Sonia Gandhi has resigned as Member of Parliament (MP). In 2004 General Election to Lok Sabha, she contested from Rae Bareli (Uttar Pradesh), opposing Ashok Kumar of Samajwadi Party, and captured the seat with 2.5 Lac vote difference.

"With several people trying to portray the ordinance as a move to protect me, I have decided to step down as the Member of Parliament and I hope my constituency understands and respects my move," said Sonia Gandhi, while addressing a press conference.

But, she made it clear that she would again contest from Rae Bareli.

Her full speech to the Press People :

For the last two days, some people have been trying to create an atmosphere as if the government and parliament
are being used to favour me. This has hurt me very much.

I have stated it earlier also that I am in politics and public life not for my selfish ends.I have taken a pledge to serve
the people of the country and to protect the secular ideals. So, in keeping with my public life and political principles and
according to my own belief, I resign as member of Lok Sabha and chairperson of National Advisory Council.

I have full faith that brothers and sisters of Rae Bareli and the whole nation will understand this feeling of mine.

I have been dragged into a needless controversy.

I hope people in Rae Bareli will understand me.

Seat sharing : TN Election 2006

As TamilNadu Assembly term is going to expire this May 2006, the Election Commission of India (ECI) announced date for conducting polls in the state. Since then, all the major parties in TamilNadu were busy in negotiating seats with their allies. Unexpectedly Vaiko, join hands with AIADMK to face the TN Assembly election 2006, and others are as usual. But still BJP & Vijayakanth 's stance is not clear, since the two parties announced that they are going to face the election alone, making the 4 axial competition viz., AIADMK, DMK Led UPA, BJP & Vijayakanth 's DMDK. There is more than a month so there is a possibility of BJP joining AIADMK led alliance.

DMK & Allies :

* Union Muslim League will contest in DMK symbol Rising Sun, so DMK is contesting in 132 seats (129 + 3) in total.

AIADMK & Allies :

* J Jayalalitha is talking with other small unrecognized parties, which may in total get 15 seats or less. So, AIADMK will contest in 175 seats minimum. 

Stance : BJP & Vijayakanth (DMDK)

On March 01 of this month, Election Commission announced the Polling Date for the TamilNadu Assembly Election 2006. Since then, the major political parties are settling with their alliance & seat sharing talks with their Allies. And on today, most of the parties are getting ready to prepare the list of candidates for the May 2006 Tamil Nadu Assembly Election. But Bharathiya Janatha Party(BJP) & Vijayakanth 's Desiya Murpokku Dravida Kazhagam (DMDK) says, they want to contest on their own.

For BJP which was a ally of DMK in 2001 TN Assembly Election, contested in 21 places & captured 4 seats to the Assembly and got around 3.2 % of total polled votes. And in 2004 Lok Sabha Election it was voted out of power from the central cabinet ministery & also in TamilNadu they tied-up with ruling AIADMK & lost all the 6 seats and got a total of 4 % of  polled votes. So their total  weightage will not be more than 5%. So, if they contest in all 234 seats, they will get only 2 to 3 seats to the maximum. And take Vaiko(MDMK) for example in 2001 TN Assebly Election, they lost all the 214 contested seats & even forfeited the deposits in 205 places with around 5.6% of polled votes. No one expected it & even I thought that they will get around 3 to 5 seats. So, in my view its not advisable for BJP to contest alone. Else if they joins AIADMK, Chief Minister of TamilNadu & AIADMK Head J Jayalalitha will allot not more than 25 seats. And in that, BJP can win 10 seats to the maximum, something is better than nothing!!

But for Vijayakanth 's DMDK the issues are different. For them it is the first election, & the party have only one plus point is that "karuppu MGR" Vijayakanth. In 100 % of the total voters in TamilNadu,  60% & are lower class people & 30% are from Middle class & 10% are from upper middle class & above. As a popular cine actor Vijayakanth 's total members in his all Fan club competes with that of Rajinikanth, the Super Star of Tamil Cinema & dazzling icon of the indian cine industry. In total voters, there is a possibility of karuppu MGR to get around 10% in which lower class people votes comprises 6-7% and other 2% each. Actually this vote bank is just a theoretical one,  which was given by many Tamil Magazines. But, the mass gathering happened on his party opening ceremony was so much, which is still happening in all his tours, so that can be true. So, we can't say exactly, how much votebank he has, and I feel, that his votebank is mainly taken from DMK & PMK. Still Vijayakanth says that he want to contest alone, but anything may happen!!!

But, as told by magazines, DMDK has a vote bank of 10%, which when contest alone can get 15 seats to the maximum. May be like, they can avoid losing deposits in 70 assembly constituency thats all.

BJP & DMDK (Vijayakanth) together ?

News are coming that BJP is talking with DMDK for alliance & so there is also a possibility that they can join. But for Vijayakanth, it is better he can join J Jayalalitha led AIADMK alliance or to contest alone. If he join hands with BJP, then he can't blame all political parties in general, since his ally is also a Major political party. And if he contest alone, he can campaign like  : none of the parties are doing great, so give us a change or something like that. But either way he can get a maximum of 15 - 20 seats, which is also considered to be very high.

Vaiko's Mother is questioning VAIKO regarding his tie up with Jaya (Amma)

Vaiko 's Amma  : Naan sonnadha ketkama yen AMMA kuda join pannae?

Vaiko                : summa iruma. Nee 10 maasamthamma ulla vechirundha, AMMA yenna 19 maasam ulla vechirundanga!!

PMK gets 31 seats from DMK

Pattali Makkal Katchi (PMK) one of the member of DPA Alliance gets 31 seats to contest in the forthcoming 2006 TamilNadu Assembly Election. PMK Leader Dr. Ramdoss was discussing daily with DMK President & Tamil Nadu DPA Head M Karunanidhi for the past 1 week regarding seats for his party Pattali Makkal Katchi. It looks like he asked for 35 seats & was given only 23 before Vaiko 's Quit. And later when Vaiko joined AIADMK alliance, M Karunanidhi offered 28 to PMK. And after 4 visits to MK 's house, Dr Ramdoss made it to 31.

In 2001 assembly polls, PMK contested in 27 places & won 20 in alliance with the AIADMK. They got around 5.5% of the total votes. And in 2004 Lok Sabha polls, PMK won all the 5 allotted Parlimentary Constituency seats like other parties in Democratic Progressive Alliance.

Congress to contest in 48 places

Congress, the second largest party in DPA has been allotted 48 seats by DMK for this Tamil Nadu Assembly Election 2006. Another MK (M Krishnasamy) the newly appointed president for TamilNadu Congress Committee (TNCC) & DMK Leader M Karunanidhi signed the agreement today.

Actually, people are thinking that 48 seats are more than expected for Congress from DMK. But it is not so. In the last 2001 TamilNadu Assembly Election there was Moopanar Congress, widely called as Tamil Manila Congress (TMC) & INC, and both parties allied with J Jayalalitha (AIADMK) and contested in 32 (TMC) + 14 (INC) Assembly Constituencies, totally 46. So, this is the first Assembly election the Congress is facing after the merger. Also, Mr. P Chidambaram 's Congress Jananayaka Peravai (CJP), mergered with Congres, which contested in DMK 's symbol in Purasaiwakam & Kattumanarkoil. So, we have to take like last time 45 & this time its just 48.

Congress, have a very goodname this time, since we have Dr. Manmohan singh the clean handed economist as PM, and his counsel of ministers like P Chidambaram, Jaipal Reddy have very good names in general. Also, people have a better feel than its predecessor BJP. So in my opinion, Congress is worth to have 60 , but as we know *beggars have no choice*

CPI was allotted 10 seats

The Communist Party of India (CPI) has been allotted 10 seats as part of the DMK led DPA front for the Tamil Nadu Assembly elections 2006. Also, CPI is the first party in the front to finalise the seat-sharing arrangement with the DMK.

In 2001 assembly polls, CPI contested in 8 places & won 5 seats in alliance with the AIADMK. And in 2004 Lok Sabha polls, Communist Party of India won the 2 Parlimentary Constituency seats Tenkasi (SC) and Coimbatore, which was alloted by the DMK in DPA alliance.

An agreement to this effect was today signed by the state CPI secretary D Pandiyan and DMK President M Karunanidhi.

VAIKO (MDMK) joined AIADMK

for TN Assembly Election 2006

Amma offers 35

Marumalarchi Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (MDMK) allied with Tamil Nadu's ruling All - India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (AIADMK) for forthcoming Tamil Nadu Assebly Election 2006. MDMK general secretary Vaiko met AIADMK general secretary and Chief Minister Jayalalitha at her Poes Garden residence here on Saturday and together they announced that the MDMK would contest 35 seats in the May 8 2006 Assembly elections.

So, as of now AIADMK Allies are :  MDMK (35 seats ) + DPI ( 9 seats )

It was also said that M Karunanidhi offered 22 seats to MDMK, indeed Vaiko asked for 25.

Vaiko said the AIADMK-led alliance would "sweep" the polls. "This is the finest hour in the political history of Tamil Nadu. The alliance is a formidable one".

But two weeks back, V Gopalasamy (Vaiko) said, "I was in the prison under Prevention of Terrorism Act for 19 months. MDMK is a movement full of self-respect. I will not give up self-respect at any cost." He also added, "We will fight till the end and will not knee down before anybody."

J Jayalalitha told press,  "We do not believe in turning back. We believe in looking at the future and the future is going to be glorious for the AIADMK and the MDMK." This is mainly said to make soft about VAIKO 's imprisonment for over 18 months under POTA.

Its is expected that Amma is waiting for Vijayakanth to get in. In that case it will be a big + for Amma 

Also, Vaiko said, despite of  the electoral ties with the AIADMK, the MDMK would be part of the United Progressive Alliance (UPA) in the centre.

K A Sengottaiyan - Come Back Kid

After his defeat in 1996 TamilNadu Assembly election, KA Sengottaiyan the Ex - Transport Minister was facing may problems due to corruption charges filed against him. Even once he was sentenced to four years Rigorous Imprisonment (RI) and a fine of Rs 1.05 lakh.

But after 2001 Election results, the charges against him was becoming weak. And in Feb 18 this year, the court acquitted him in all charges.

He was also visible in many AIADMK ceremonies in the past 2 years. And now he is one of the member in the Team formed by J Jayalalitha to talk to ADMK allies regarding seat sharing.

K A Sengottaiyan contested from Gobichettipalayam Assembly Constituency in 1991 and was selected as a MLA, and once in 1996 he lost. Due to the charges, he couldn't contest in 2001 Assembly election as well.

I believe, Mr. Sengottaiyan will contest in Gobichettipalayam Constituency this 2006 Assembly election.

Update :  As expected Mr. KA Sengottaiyan, Ex - Transport Minister is going to contest in the Tamil Nadu Assembly Election 2006 from Gobi Assembly Constituency, which is also his native. His name was listed in the AIADMK candidate list.